A fortnight after the government gave an
in-principle clearance to raise a Mountain Strike Corps, a debate over the
efficacy of the decision to spend over Rs 64,000
crores on the new accretion has begun. Noted Strategic Affairs expert, former
Rear Admiral Raja Menon writing in The Hindu has in fact categorically
asserted: "A
geographically limited one axis offensive will not destabilise the PLA, but a
flotilla of nuclear submarines and a three carrier air group in the Indian
Ocean can economically cripple mainland China."
Others have also weighed
in with their opinion essentially making the point that India should invest
more in its Navy than sinking money in troops-intensive mountain strike
corps.
The nub of this argument
is: a powerful blue-water Indian Navy can choke the sea lines of communication
(SLOC) so vital for China by strategic interdiction on the high seas and
therefore the Indian Navy's capability to enforce a blockade must be
strengthened. This theory assumes that India can unilaterally do so in case
China assumes a belligerent posture across the Himalaya. If push comes to shove,
India will certainly be forced to look at this option but the SLOCs are not an
exclusive preserve of either India or China and the international community is
therefore bound to intervene to keep the passage free to enable trade and
commerce to function normally. A selective blockade of China-centric sea traffic
is realistically difficult to implement even if on paper the prospect looks
alluring.
However if a conflict between
India and China breaks out in the high mountains, the world is not going to be
overly bothered for a while. India therefore needs to be prepared to meet this threat
all along the 4,000 km long boundary with China. The likelihood of a limited
skirmish in the mountains is much more than a confrontation at sea simply
because the border remains un-demarcated and prone to frequent
misinterpretation and misunderstanding.
The need to have more
forces for the northern frontier cannot be overemphasised. This does not mean
it should come at the cost of preventing the Indian Navy from expanding. Going
by the information available in the open domain, the Indian Navy is in the
middle of one of its most ambitious modernisation programmes. Apart from the
planned—even if delayed—induction of INS Vikramaditya, the aircraft carrier
built in Russia and currently under sea trials, 47 ships of different types and
capability are on order in various Indian shipyards. India’s first indigenously
built nuclear-powered submarine is also scheduled to embark on its first sea
acceptance trial around end-August. The first Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC) is scheduled to cross a major landmark two weeks from now. The design and concept for the second IAC is also more or less finalised. So the Navy is doing just fine. With the Navy’s long-standing emphasise on
acquiring indigenously-built platforms, Indian shipyards can cope only with
these many numbers for at least another 10 years.
After that, if more money is required, India can always find resources to fund further expansion of the Indian Navy.
But to get back to the creation of a Moutain Strike
Corps. According to available information, it is just the first step in what is
needed urgently –the addition of 40,000 new troops to the Indian Army. The budget of Rs 64,000 crore for the new corps is
to be spent over seven years –- which is just as well since raising
new formations as large as a Corps is not an easy task. It is further difficult
to make that formation capable of mountain warfare. For mountains gobble up
troops; they take a heavy toll on man and machine.
The decision
on 17 July is somewhat reminiscent of a similar choice exercised by the
UPA government almost exactly four years ago.
The then outgoing UPA-I
government's Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) was meeting for the last
time before the results of the 2009 general elections were to be
announced. The sole item on the agenda: Enhancing India's military
preparedness against China.
According to insiders
present at that meeting, some of the members of the CCS wanted to leave the
decision to the next government but better sense prevailed and days before
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's first UPA government went ahead and
sanctioned raising of two new Mountain Divisions for deployment in India's
north eastern State of Arunachal Pradesh, an area claimed by China as
South Tibet. In addition, the Indian Air Force was given the go ahead to
reactivate half a dozen Advance Landing Grounds (ALGs) spread all along
the Arunachal-Tibet portion of the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between the
two countries and base additional squadrons of Sukhoi-30 combat jets in
Assam.
The goal was to plug
existing gaps in India’s preparedness along the Arunachal Pradesh-China
frontier. The two new divisions were to include a squadron of India’s
armoured spearhead—Soviet-built T-90 tanks--and a regiment of
artillery.
Now four years later,
the two mountain divisions have completed their recruitment, equipping and
orbatting in the North-east. One of them--the 56 Mountain Division--after being
raised in Nagaland's Zakhama area has been placed at Lekhabali, north of
the Brahmaputra adding teeth to Indian Army's presence in East and Central
Arunachal Pradesh. The other new Division--71--headquartered at Missamari
in the plains of Assam, will enhance troop deployment beyond Tawang in
West Arunachal Pradesh in addition to the 5 Mountain Division already
stationed at Tenga.
However one lacuna
continues to persist. Road links to forward areas remain tenuous. The
China Study Group (CSG), which controls India's policy on China had sanctioned
72 tactically important roads to be built in the tough, mountainous
terrain along the China border in the Eastern and the Western sectors. The
roads are being built by the quasi-military Border Roads Organisation to
enhance connectivity. But a combination of lethargic BRO, obstructionist
state governments and ministry of environment and forests has meant that
these roads are nowhere near completion. Similarly, the half a dozen ALGs
in Arunachal Pradesh are also stuck in red tape.
The recent incursion by
Chinese troops in Ladakh's Depsang area should serve as a timely reminder
to the government that timelines for infrastructure development along the
Chinese frontier and plans to boost military capability do not have the
luxury of slippages.
Diplomacy and timing
(cancellation of Chinese Premier's visit over the border standoff would
have been a loss of face for Beijing) helped end the face off this time
but New Delhi will do well to remember such incident is not going to be
one off. The Chinese will continue to nibble at the un-demarcated border
and test India's response as they have done for over 50 years.
What will be crucial for the new corps is
cooperation and coordination between all stake-holders: The Defence,
Finance and Environment Ministries, as well as the Army, Air Force and Border
Roads Organization.
In the recent past, objections from the
Environment Ministry have impeded upon the construction of crucial roads
in Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Himachal Pradesh, Ladakh and Uttarakhand. In
the last case, the lack of connectivity was driven home brutally when
torrential rains ripped open the state last month, leaving thousands stranded.
It is nobody's case
that the environment should not be protected but a balance needs to be
struck in caring for the environment and national security imperatives. The
state governments will need to back the plan by
facilitating the speedy allotment of land in remote areas.
The climate
in most of these states means that the Border Roads Organization can leverage,
at best, a four-month season to deliver new routes.
Similarly, establishing
permanent infrastructure for troops, including hubs that
supply ammunition and deciding strategically-placed artillery gun
positions is a long -term and complicated process.
Finding the
right contractors with the right skills and willingness to work on isolated,
remote areas is another big challenge. The Indian Air Force, for
instance, has been trying for three years to sign contracts that will
lead the upgrading seven Advanced Landing Grounds or ALGS, crucial for the
ability to quickly airlift troops to strategic parts along the China
border. But the deals have not been closed because expert contractors
find it difficult to work in these areas.
The
new mountain corps will require light artillery which can be easily
transported, even airlifted in the highest mountains. Given India's
painfully-slow process of weapons acquisition, empowering the Mountain Strike
Corps quickly will be a big challenge.
It is all
the more necessary for the government to walk the talk in making the new
formation a reality by adhering to timelines.
Simultaneously, India
must re-look and re-tweak its China policy.
For instance:
• Insist with Beijing
the need for exchanging maps for all sectors immediately so that each side
knows the other's claimed LAC and border negotiations can resume
• Instead of pushing for
operational control of the Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP), the Army should step up and assume
responsibility to protect the disputed border.
• Ensure timely and
effective information sharing mechanism with Indian media and through them
the Indian people rather than let different stake holders speak in
different and sometimes discordant voices during times of crisis.
• Educate and prepare the
Indian people on the need for give and take on border negotiations in the
future.
Policy makers in India
must be mindful of the fact that military preparedness and trying to
improve diplomatic relations are not necessarily mutually exclusive.
Very well articulated point of view. It is high time the Indian defence pundits, I mean the Govt machinery who deals with matters of Perspective planning of modernisation of Indian Armed forces understand Strategic Planning for long term defence of the country lest we land up in a crisis management situation always.Myopic control regims will land the country in difficult position in future due to the Pandits failing in forecasting the course of events & the options to deal with for which preparations have to be undertaken now & it has to be a continuous process. Environment ministry & state ministries cannot be in stand alone mode without considering the importance of integrity of our Civilisation( Country). as far as the ITBP issue is or for that matter BSF on other borders, the Govt has to take a long term view rather than making it as a turf domination matter.If external security is the primary task of the armed Forces all other organisations helping them in peace situations will have to be reporting to the armed forces & not to anybody else. This is called SYNERGY, which is essential. Next is the reqmt of CDS/ permanent Chairman of the Chiefs of staff committee as a single point adviser to the head of the Govt & The President. Rather than taking shelter of difference of opinion within the Armed Forces The Govt should order it like USA had done.The post Kargil commission had also emphasised on the need of such an arrangement.I also take liberty to repeat your words I quote "" Policy makers in India must be mindful of the fact that military preparedness and trying to improve diplomatic relations are not necessarily mutually exclusive."" Sandeep
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